There is no climate crisis
Unerwünschte Wahrheiten Authors: Fritz Vahrenholt and Sebastian Lüning (Germany).
Dutch Translation: Martien de Wit. (the following is a Google translation from the Dutch to English)
The judgment about CO2 and the industry associated with it has long been passed: “harmful, dangerous, must stop ”.
It is always surprising that people seem to forget that CO2 is the building material of life and that despite all the possible negative effects, food yields, such as wheat and rice, have increased by about 15% due to the increased CO2. Who can tell the students of ‘ Fridays for Future ‘ that without the increase in CO2, we would certainly have had too little food to feed the world? Just 15% less rice, wheat and soy would be unbearable for the world’s population in the long run. None of this causes CO2, or releases it to us humans who, in 150 years, have dramatically improved the living conditions for all people on Earth by developing an industrial society. A society that also has the CO2 concentrationboosted from 0.018%. up to 0.041%. What we don’t know with enough accuracy is how much this and further increase will change the climate .
Unwanted truths The judgment about CO2 and the industry associated with it has already been made harmful and dangerous must stop.
There is no doubt that in the course of this century the global community will have to respond and reduce CO2 emissions. However, the primitive climate models should not be used as a basis for this. In these models, a 50% higher temperature rise is calculated compared to reality. That means that we have twice as much time. Not in 2050, but in 2100 we will have to say goodbye to a large part of fossil fuels.
In any case, low-carbon technologies must be developed. Germany plays a bad role in this. Everything that could satisfy the global hunger for renewable energy, besides wind and solar energy, is not taking place. Every year the Greens submit a motion in the Committee on Budgets to end funding for nuclear fusion research, research into inherently safe nuclear power plants in Germany is banned, fossil power plants with CO2 separation (CCS) are also banned.
After the destruction of the German auto industry, the goal is to replace carbon in industry, steel mills, cement mills and refineries as well. Anyone who to look around, see what W e could still do without petrochemicals. So without medicines, without CDs, without mobile phones or telephone screens, without cable sheaths, cosmetics, paint, synthetic fibers, adhesives, detergents and cleaning agents. Substances we depend on every day.
Electricity demand in Germany would more than triple. And this must be met through the insane plan to meet our energy and hydrocarbon needs solely through the use of nature-destroying wind power plants and inefficient solar roofs in Germany. It would therefore be extremely foolish to go down this path and rule out other options a priori .
If the climate response to CO2 at a climate sensitivity (the warming when the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere doubles) is about 1.5 ° C , the warming by 2100 will certainly not exceed a warming of 2 ° C. We then have until 2100 to reach pre-industrial emissions levels. In any case, it makes no difference whether Germany and Europe reach net zero in 2050 or 2100. The decisive factor is: what is the world doing and especially what is China doing?
To believe that China, as promised in Paris, its CO2 emissions will increase from 8.9 billion tonnes to (only!) 12.5 billion tonnes will return in 2030 and then to zero in 20 years, would be really naive. The Chinese government itself expects the same emissions in 2050 as now, which would require an enormous effort. Or is it European logic that we destroy our industrial society so that China can really flourish?
In 62 countries around the world, 1,600 (1,600) coal-fired power plants are currently being built, most of them by Chinese companies and with the help of Chinese loans. In total, the capacity of coal-fired power stations worldwide will not be reduced, but will be increased by 43%. This is not a theoretical model calculation, but reality. And Germany is in the process of phasing out nuclear power by 2022 and domestic lignite by 2038.
Many disaster warnings have already been passed . Such as the warning for the Little Ice Age in the 1970s, the warnings from the Club of Rome that we will run out of resources in 2000, the end of the German forests around 2000. Often things turned out very differently than expected. But the most obvious scenario right now would be: the world is changing very slowly by 2100 and Germany will go down in ten years time if the infantilization of politics continues at the level of ‘ Friday for the future’ .
Unwanted truths The judgment about CO2 and the industry associated with it has already been made harmful and dangerous must stop.In the short term, new scientific insights are not expected to lead to a policy change. There is and there is much loss of wealth will be e ist by people with a policy based on fear of climate disasters; There has been much too often proclaimed 100% truth, so that people are open to course corrections.
If the emergencies do not occur and were not justified, the climate forecasts would collapse because part of the warming turns out to be a natural development and CO2 has a less warming effect than assumed.
Not only climate science, but also politics in Europe as a whole has a serious credibility problem.
This is a summary of a recently published book by Fritz Vahrenholt and Sebastian Lüning : Unerwünschte Wahrheiten.
See here . (Amazon Netherlands)