Powerpoint Contributed by Robert Lyman
A recent rather breathless article on Medium rounding up some ideas from the recent
#GenEnergy conference, is entitled “Canada can’t afford to ignore these two huge energy trends”. It was written by renewable advocates Merran Smith and Dan Woynillowicz and their story would certainly mislead Canadians into thinking that wind and solar are taking over the world, that Electric Vehicles (EV) will line the streets and that the age of oil, gas and coal are over. Another Simon Fraser University initiative called Citizen Dialogues on Canada’s Energy Future, with a website banner of wind farms, saying “The Citizen Dialogues on Canada’s Energy Future are an attempt to approach the energy conversation differently.”
Then let’s look at the facts and have an informed conversation.
The facts tell a much different story the the Smith-Woynillowicz version. Ottawa energy policy consultant, Robert Lyman, compiled a power point showing a real world assessment of present and future use of hydrocarbons vs renewables.
The idea that EVs will soon line the streets ignores the fact that to do so would cost trillions of dollars to build more conventional power plants and redo the transmission and distribution lines to handle the additional load. Euan Mearns gives a good example calculation of costs for the EU. Of course, in Canada, the temperature extremes and distances are particularly unfavourable for EVs, as discussed by Blair King about similar proposals for British Columbia.
Canadians would be wise to remember the following, when talking and planning energy policies.
- Past, present and future trends in the consumption of fossil fuels are entirely different from the claims of those who think the world is embarked on a massive transformation of the energy system towards renewables.
- In a world in which significantly increasing carbon dioxide emissions is virtually inevitable, what justification is there for massive economy-destroying reductions in Canada?
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